As Bills head coach Doug Marrone has stated more than once, the statistical evidence that says you should go for it more on fourth down cannot be applied in a vacuum. There are a host of other variables in a game that need to be considered in addition to what the fourth down statistics might say. This week however, the statistics could be overwhelmingly be in favor of going for it if the Bills are faced with a fourth down situation. Here’s why.
First and foremost Atlanta has the worst third down defense in the league allowing conversions at better than 46 percent (46.6%). On third and short they allow conversions almost two-thirds of the time (64.6%).
And on fourth and short they allow their opponents to convert a surprising 77.8% of the time. That figures ranks 28th in the league.
Naturally time left on the clock, score, field position and a host of other variables will come into play when making a decision, but the Bills should be encouraged to go for it if they face a 4th-and-short situation in a favorable area of the field today.
Posted in Inside the Bills