Inside The Bills

Fan Friday 3-19

Posted by Chris Brown on March 19, 2010 – 1:15 pm

On the heels of some starting caliber free agent additions for Buffalo’s defense here is the latest installment of Fan Friday. As always questions can be sent at AskChris@bills.nfl.net. And you can review my blog scroll right here instead of just a post at a time if you’re playing offseason catch up. Let’s get going.

1- Hey Chris, I’m a grad student down at Penn State and have seen a lot of Jared Odrick, and he seems to be a really good player. I think that he would be worth a late 1st round, early second round pick. Do you think he would be a good NT? What do you think the odds are of the Bills being able to pick him up, whether they take him at rd 2, pick 9 or trade up/down for him?
-Chris

CB: I like Odrick’s game a lot. I don’t think there is anything about his game that an NFL head coach would be wondering about on Sunday. This guy gives maximum effort every snap. I think he’s capable of filling a role at nose tackle, but I don’t think he can be a full time NT. I think his ideal position is as a 3-4 defensive end.

Knowing that I think it’s unlikely that the Bills make a move for him whether it is up or down the board. That being said I think your range for him is dead on, late first, early second-round pick.

2 - Chris,
I thought the Bills did a pretty good job getting young linebackers like Harris and Palmer…they seem to me like they would have the athleticism to be good 4-3 linebackers…but I’m not sure where they fit in a 3-4. Do you think they might move Harris back to strong safety and in general what do you think the plan is with the linebackers?
-Chris

CB: A lot of Chris’ with questions this week. I thought that Harris moving back to safety could be a possibility until the team re-signed veteran Bryan Scott. With Scott and George Wilson tendered as a restricted free agent, I believe it’s less likely that it happens.

Nic Harris however, does have the frame to add some muscle mass in my opinion, so it’ll be interesting to see what kind of plans the new staff has for Harris. As for Palmer he was released by the club and is better suited to a 4-3 system.

3 - Hey Chris,
I agree with you that the Bills should draft an Offensive Left Tackle in the first round. That said, what quarterbacks that are either Free Agents or could be acquired via trade, would you go after?
Bob

CB: Truthfully, I wasn’t impressed with most of what was out there and available. The Seahawks traded for Charlie Whitehurst who has barely played in the league. Cleveland acquired Jake Delhomme coming off a career worst season. It’s tough times if you need a QB.

That’s why it would not surprise me if the Bills spent most of their roster shaping efforts addressing their other positional deficiencies this year (OT, NT, LB, TE) and let this year play itself out at QB. Then based on the performance of whichever one of the QBs that plays make a wholehearted effort to address the position once and for all in 2011.

4 - Chris,
Do you think Rashaad Duncan or Lonnie Harvey are viable DT candidates in the 3-4, or are they still too raw? We haven’t hear much talk about John McCargo as a NT prospect in the 3-4 – where do you see him? What about Corey Mace as a DE? Do you see Chris Kelsay or Chris Ellis as OLB candidates in the 3-4, or would they not be fast enough off the edge?
Thanks, Mike, Pittsford

CB: I think Duncan and Harvey will both be given an opportunity through the offseason and in camp to show the new staff what they’ve got. With nose tackle currently a position that’s short on proven talent, it’s a good opportunity for both of those young men.

As for McCargo, I’m concerned about his future. He doesn’t look like a fit at all in this system and he has struggled mightily with his consistency. He has tools, he just doesn’t use them often enough. Mace was not re-signed. Kelsay and Ellis will be OLB candidates.

5 - Chris,
Not sure I thoroughly understand the thinking of those who feel we need to draft a quarterback in the first round of the upcoming draft. This is especially true in light of the fact that the two top rated QBs are injured and still have questions about their potential.

Also, what good it does us if we get a QB but cannot protect him as was the case last year. My thinking is that we need a solid offensive LT with our first pick followed by the best DT on the boards in Round 2.

We should then be looking to LB in Round 3. Build the nucleus first and then get a driver to run it hard and fast.

Also, any thoughts about trading a future pick to gain an extra pick this year, especially given we are moving to a 3-4 defensive alignment? As always appreciate the coverage your provide to us Bills fans outside the western New York area.

Jim Allentown, Pa.

CB: Jim, you’re speaking my language. OT first, provided one of the top 4 are there at 9 (worried a bit one might not be there now) and then best NT on the board in round two. I’m thinking the Bills have the same idea we do, which is spend this offseason filling the other holes and then go hard core after a QB or do whatever you have to next year to get to the top of the draft board to get Jake Locker. And because that could very well be their approach I think trading a 1st or 2nd round pick from 2011 is unlikely.


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Posted in Inside the Bills

Fan Friday 3-12

Posted by Chris Brown on March 12, 2010 – 1:55 pm

Time for another edition. You can always email your questions to me at AskChris@bills.nfl.net. I’m about a month behind, so your patience is appreciated. I should also mention that you can check the running scroll of my blog posts here, where very often a lot of your questions can already be answered. Let’s get to it.

1 - Hey Chris,
Just wondering what your thoughts are with the Roscoe Parrish situation? Whether he should be traded or released etc? Personally I think he should stay, one terrible year shouldn’t have to wreck his otherwise positive career. I also believe he should be implemented further into the offense, even as a true wideout. Back in 2007/2008 people were preaching about his receiving potential and now it seems to all be forgotten.
 
Thanks
Nick

CB: For whatever reason Roscoe fell out of favor with the previous coaching staff. What you cannot deny is he is one of the most successful return men in league history. His punt return average is the only proof you need. Many observers for years have been of the belief that you could create a package of plays for Roscoe within the scope of an offense to take advantage of his separation abilities, and I’m in that group.

What encourages me is Chan Gailey knows how to maximize players’ strengths and I anticipate him doing this with Parrish on offense. So let’s hope for the best for Parrish.

2 - Dear Chris,
 I’m very excited about the 3-4 switch the Bills are going to use this season but I’m a little confused. I would like to think I know a little more than average about football styles and such but I have never figured out exactly what the different techniques are for d-linemen. I previously read that M. Stroud would be an ideal 5 technique player like R. Seymour, but I have no clue what that means. I’ve heard of 2 and 3 techniques, also. Can you help me out here? Also, I hear that people say the LBs we have are not good enough for the 3-4 but I think that Posluszny and Mitchell would be fine in it. What do they mean they wouldn’t and do you think they are good enough to play in it?

Thanks for the help,
 Jim (Niles, Ohio)

CB: Posluszny and Mitchell are two of the better fits on the roster with respect to the LB position in the 3-4. I see them lining up next to one another as the ILBs. With respect to the “technique” descriptions they’re all based on the alignment of the defensive lineman.
For example if a nose tackle is lined head up on a center he’s playing a zero technique (the technique is his alignment).

As a defensive lineman moves further away from center in his alignment the number of his technique goes up. So if a defensive lineman lines up on the outside shade of the center he’s playing a one technique, if he’s head up on a guard it’s a two technique, outside shade of the guard, three technique and so on. The numbers go all the way up to a nine technique, which is the outside shade of the tight end. Hope that helps.

3 - Hey Chris,

I was wondering what you think the Bills will be getting in the area of compensatory picks? I know that we did not get any last year but with this past year’s losses in free agency (Jabari Greer in particular who just won a Super Bowl), what type of picks will the Bills probably be looking at? How does the compensatory picks system work? What is the earliest round in which compensatory picks are available? With all of the holes on the roster and the switch to a 3-4 now making defense a bigger priority, I feel that we can use as many picks as possible for either players or trade bait.

Thanks a lot,

Andrew

CB: I regret to inform you that it’s unlikely that the Bills will be getting any compensatory picks. The exact formula for determining compensatory picks is not known, but to even begin to qualify a team must have a net loss of free agents. Players that are cut (e.g. Langston Walker) do not count in that equation. Size of contract signed by a free agent with another team (e.g. Jabari Greer) is a part of the equation, along with playing time and postseason honors, but only if a net loss of free agents happened first. Also not every free agent lost or signed is covered by the formula.

The Bills did not have a net loss of free agents last offseason. They were even. On occasion if there is enough disparity between the value of the contracts of the players the Bills signed to the value of the contracts signed by the players they lost, a 7th round pick can be awarded, but it does not happen often.

A compensatory pick guru known only as AdamJT13 has his own site that very accurately predicts what teams will and will not get compensatory picks. Here is his assessment of what he foresees for Buffalo.

Buffalo — The Bills signed two qualifying players and lost two qualifying players, so they will not receive a true comp pick. There is an outside chance that the Bills will receive a “net value” comp pick at the end of the seventh round if the players they lost have a combined value that is sufficiently more than the combined value of the players they signed. Whether that is the case will be determined by the final values of the players involved.

Compensatory picks should be announced on day two of the league meetings, which is March 22nd.

4 - Hi Chris,
             I’m curious what do you think the chances are that the Bills trade the 9Th pick and move back in the draft to get more picks? Specifically the Seahawks at 14, Cardinals at 26, and the Vikings at 30 all have questions at QB, what are the chances that any of these teams want to trade up and get one of the first round QB’s, or any other teams that you could see want to trade up and what could we get in return.
—Mike

CB: I think trading down is a much greater possibility than trading up. If the Seahawks still haven’t addressed their QB position long term behind Hasselback via free agency (Derek Anderson visiting), then they’re likely to address it with their pick at 6, so trading up from 14 is kind of a moot point. In fact they’ll probably go OT at 14 if they go QB at 6.

Yes, the Cards are looking for a QB alternative to Leinart, who lacks the quick release to run the offense the same way they did with Warner. He just doesn’t process stuff as quickly as Warner did. I think they too however, look the veteran QB route (had Derek Anderson visit as well).

The Vikings are simply holding out hope that Favre returns. Otherwise they may push hard for McNabb since they run the same offense and Childress used to coach McNabb in Philly on offense.

So that being said, I don’t see any of those teams looking to make a big move up the board to get a QB, and it’s unlikely that Bradford or Clausen are there at 9 anyway. I think Bradford is the first pick, which increases the likelihood that Clausen is gone by pick 6 to Seattle as Pete Carroll has had a close relationship with Clausen since he was in high school (in the state of California).

5 - Hey Chris, I’m a grad student down at Penn State and have seen a lot of Jared Odrick, and he seems to be a really good player.  I think that he would be worth a late 1st round, early second round pick.  Do you think he would be a good NT?  What do you think the odds are of the Bills being able to pick him up, whether they take him at rd 2, pick 9 or trade up/down for him?
-Chris

CB: I like Odrick a lot. I was hopeful that somehow, some way he’d slip to the Bills at 41 in round two, but that is unlikely to happen. He can play both the nose and end in the 3-4. He’s a versatile kid and he plays 100 mph. If they trade down from 9 into the 20’s I think it’s possible, otherwise he’ll be playing for some other 3-4 team. A really solid player as I see it.


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Posted in Inside the Bills