Inside The Bills

Fan Friday 4-20

Posted by Chris Brown on April 20, 2018 – 11:04 am

The last Fan Friday before the 2018 NFL draft. Buffalo has a lot to work with. Cross your fingers that they get everything they’re after. Here are your questions from email at AskChris@bills.nfl.net and on Twitter @ChrisBrownBills.

1 – @ChrisBrownBills
What’s your gut feeling? Trade up or stay put at 12? And, if you had to guess – who’s the QB prospect they want?

John Green
@JGreen_PRsports

CB: I believe the Bills will exhaustively work to find the right move that they believe works best for them in terms of positioning and value. Whether they feel that has to happen before the draft or after it begins is the big question for me.

As for the QB prospect they want, I’m going to tell you it’s been like Fort Knox upstairs. GM Brandon Beane has made it clear to his staff to keep a tight lid on things and Beane himself has said the circle of people who are in the know about their draft leanings is very, very small.

Beane knows how important this draft is to their long range vision for this team. So it doesn’t surprise me at all that they’ve been as tight lipped a group as I’ve seen pre-draft.


2 –
@ChrisBrownBills
Who is your favorite QB prospect? Not who you believe the Bills would take, but who would you take Chris?

Brett Triplett
@BrettsterBills

CB: I’ve been on record for a while saying I like Josh Rosen the most in this class. I’d be happy with a couple of other QB prospects too. He just has the passing skills that you need in a QB at the NFL level. Accuracy, ability to read defenses, solid mechanics, smarts. I also think his personality criticisms are overblown.

I know I’m in the minority, but I’ve also got Mason Rudolph in my top four. I really like his body of work and skill set.

3 – @ChrisBrownBills

In your gut, if the Bills are faced with a “doomsday scenario” of 4 QBs taken in the first 5 picks (and Buffalo not being one of them), do you think the Bills take Jackson at 12, or do you think they wait for the next tier of Rudolph/Lauletta/White/Falk, etc?

Parasauralophus
@lophus89

CB: I have to think Jackson would be an option, but what I grapple with concerning Jackson and matching him with the Bills is his skill set is very similar to that of the quarterback they just traded to the Browns. The only big area where Tyrod Taylor and Lamar Jackson differ in terms of their passing skill sets is Jackson seems to get through his progressions more consistently and his strength is hitting targets between the numbers (middle of field).

Taylor’s strength was hitting targets outside the numbers, but he wasn’t as effective over the middle.

So I’m not convinced the Bills would draft a QB with a similar set of skills to that of Taylor.

I would hope Mason Rudolph would be a consideration in light of my aforementioned comments about him. As for Lauletta, there’s nothing with him that will wow you, but he is consistent and makes plays.

White and Falk are players who probably aren’t coming off the board until round 3 at the earliest and that’s late round 3 as I see it.

 

4 – @ChrisBrownBills

Chris, good morning. My question is what do you expect the Bills to target in rounds 4-6 assuming some of the pressing positions get addressed early (qb,lb,wr)?

Tony Chimera
@ChimeraTony

CB: I think with the depth at cornerback, running back and the interior offensive line, those are logical positions that will have viable options to choose from on day three.

We have to remember that Vontae Davis is only signed for one season. So cornerback is a position in need of depth with E.J. Gaines, Shareece Wright and Leonard Johnson no longer on the roster.

In fact, I think cornerback could be addressed sooner than day three if the right prospect comes up when the Bills are on the clock.

Guard prospects go about 15 deep with draftable grades, so there should be developmental talent come day three. And there are running backs to be had, who could contribute in a reserve role in that range.

 

5 – @ChrisBrownBills
Chris, with the Bills having the 2nd most draft capital besides Clev. Do u think the chances r good that the Bills move up to draft a QB? Nobody should b able to outbid us?

Mikey
@Mikeybeit

CB: While that is true in terms of draft capital in the 2018 draft, the great equalizer for the other NFL clubs in terms of trade capital are future draft picks.

For example, a team like the New Orleans Saints down at pick 27 really only have the draft capital in their 2018 arsenal to get up to 20 in round one. But if they decide to offer a first-round pick in 2019, suddenly they have the ammunition to get up as high as pick four, if you weigh the Saints first-round pick in 2019 to be a middle of the round value.

So if a team is desperate enough, or competitive enough, they could be willing to part with future assets to level the trading playing field.

 


Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,
Posted in Inside the Bills

Fan Friday 4-13

Posted by Chris Brown on April 13, 2018 – 11:50 am

Happy Friday the 13th Bills fans! The draft is fast approaching. Let’s get to your questions on Twitter at @ChrisBrownBills.

1 – @ChrisBrownBills
For a team without a consensus starting QB for the last 22 yrs, does trading up to take 1 of a deep class of QB prospects in the 2018 draft constitute “reaching”? Can Beane/McDermott afford to kick this can down the road?

Keith Archie
@ASCREEN07

CB: I think we are all of the belief that all the stockpiling of Buffalo’s draft capital, which is at a record level in terms of assets, was not done to add nine players to the roster (their total number of picks). It was done to provide them with the ammunition to get a quarterback in this year’s class.

For a plan that has likely been a year in the making, I find it hard to believe that the Bills will not make every attempt to trade up to grab one of the QB prospects they feel is worth the price of moving up the board to select.

Although there will be a couple of options in next year’s draft at QB – Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham, Washington’s Jacob Eason, Missouri’s Drew Lock – those players, with the possible exception of Stidham, have to show dramatic improvement on the field in 2018 to be in the same category as the QBs in this class.

Now is the time to strike and the Bills have the assets to make it happen.


2 –
@ChrisBrownBills
How do you think Ryan Groy fits into our plans moving forward? Especially without Incognito.

Mark Kammerdeiner
@billsfannum1

CB: I think we’ll have a better idea on that post-draft. It’s my contention that the Bills will add some youth to their offensive line in the draft. The question is will they make additions early in the draft or late? That will likely be determined by what assets they choose to part with in a trade up scenario in round one.

If they add an interior lineman relatively early (rounds 1-3), and it’s a guard who has a chance to start right away then I think Groy is competing for the starting center role. If it’s a late round addition, then I think Groy is more likely to line up in a starting guard role and will compete with John Miller.


3 –
@ChrisBrownBills
Are the Bills interested at all in Mason Rudolph or Lamar Jackson? Is it even possible that they stay at 12 and take either of those guys or are they definitely going after one of the other four? Namely Baker Mayfield or Josh Rosen.

Waves
@BethelWaves11

CB: I believe the answer to this is in Buffalo’s preparation. They’ve scouted and done their due diligence on all of the top 6 quarterback prospects. Truth be told there’s something to like about all six of the top QBs, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they were intrigued by any one of these top QB prospects.

I’m sure they probably have two that they covet the most, but when you’re sitting at 12 you have to know for certain who you believe is ready to compete for the starting job now and who is a year away and slot your quarterback prospects accordingly.

As for your question of if it’s possible they take Jackson or Rudolph at 12, in the draft anything is possible, especially at the QB position, where in most cases on draft day their value tends to get pushed up the board because teams get nervous about missing out.

There are a few cases over the years where a QB slides, but more often than not QB value moves up, which is why Rudolph even in the 12-20 range of round one wouldn’t surprise even though most values on him as little as two weeks ago had him late one to early two.

 

4 – @ChrisBrownBills

Hey Chris, what’s the plan for the Middle LB spot? I’m sure they’re going to take someone with one of their first 3 picks, but was curious who you’d think would be a fit, especially if they trade up? I like Jewell from Iowa in Round 2 assuming they make jump up in round 1.

Michael Morgante
@md_morgante

CB: This is a position I’m legitimately concerned about because the draft is thin at true ‘mike’ linebacker types. Knowing they could part with draft assets to address QB, I worry that some of the better options at MLB won’t be there for Buffalo.

I do like Jewell as a prospect because of his productivity and instincts, but he might not have all the requisite measurables to excel as a three-down MLB. He has some coverage liabilities to his game in terms of lateral movement and change of direction skills, so I wonder where the Bills value on him would lie.

I believe there are some outside linebacker prospects who could project to ILB, like BYU’s Fred Warner or Vanderbilt’s Oren Burks. NFL teams will have to try to see if some of these OLB prospects are capable of moving inside because the ILB crop is so thin.

Burks is a guy I think could easily project inside because he’s played there before and possesses the cover skills necessary to that position.

 

5 – @ChrisBrownBills

Why is it taking so long to move to top 5? Everyone knows the #bills are looking to trade

Chetan Rakieten
@chetanrakieten

CB: I don’t know this for sure, but I would think that the Bills, or any other team interested in possibly moving into the top 10 or top 5, have laid the groundwork for a possible trade with another club, but a lot of those decisions are predicated on what players come off the board first.

Let’s just say hypothetically that the Bears want RB Saquon Barkley, but don’t think they’ll get him at 8. Maybe they don’t have the assets to get up to 2, so they’ve talked with Browns at four and the Broncos at five.

Even if they have a deal in place with the Broncos at 5 to move up, there is no sense of pulling the trigger on a deal unless they know Barkley is available. So if Barkley somehow slides past the Browns at four on draft day, then the Bears call the Broncos and pull the trigger to move up to five to take the RB.

That’s why a lot of trades do not happen until draft day.

 


Tags: , , , , , , , ,
Posted in Inside the Bills

Fan Friday 1-19

Posted by Chris Brown on January 19, 2018 – 11:26 am

We’ll have full Senior Bowl practice coverage next week Bills fans, so keep it close to Buffalobills.com and the John Murphy Show! Now to your questions on Twitter at @ChrisBrownBills.

1 – @ChrisBrownBills

Do you think Rudolph could be a target pick for bills? Keep some draft capital get him at 21?

Brian
@Bhainsy

CB: Right now Rudolph is a bit off the pace as a QB prospect from the top four (Darnold, Rosen, Allen, Mayfield), due primarily to the fact that NFL clubs don’t know what his mental processing skills are on a football field. He has all the physical tools to be a pocket passer in the NFL, but he played in a very simple offense. So calling plays, diagnosing coverages, reading progressions, taking snaps under center are all unknowns. That’s why it’s unfortunate that Rudolph won’t be practicing this week at the Senior Bowl. He could’ve begun to answer some of those questions by putting his decision making during team periods of practice on display.

I think at this point it’s very realistic that he’ll be on the board for the Bills in the early 20’s. He’s currently projected as a late one, early two by some of the more respected draft prognosticators.


2 –
@ChrisBrownBills

Do you foresee Shady becoming more of a change of pace back/third down back to preserve his career a few more years? It would be nice to get a solid move the chains type bruiser for early downs…thoughts?

Alan C
@alancolic

CB: McCoy did not show any signs of slowing down whatsoever in 2017. That said, he’ll be 30-years old for 2018. I personally see him as one of the exceptions to the popular rule that running backs decline after their 28th birthday. The main reason being his running style doesn’t expose him to big time hits which cause the most wear and tear on the body.

I am however, in favor of getting a capable back who can reduce the workload on McCoy. The Bills did a good job managing his carries. He averaged 18 carries per game in 2017, which I think would still be manageable for McCoy going forward. But introducing a steady backup, who can get five to 10 carries per game would be advisable to prolong McCoy’s freshness through the latter stages of the season, especially if there are playoff games in January where the offense will naturally lean on him more.


3 –
@ChrisBrownBills

Chicken-egg situation: do the #Bills draft a QB with skill set that fits what Daboll wants to do? Or design offense around whatever QB they draft?

Tyler Moss
@TyLynnMoss

CB: While I believe there is some consideration to the style of offense the Bills would prefer to run in drafting a quarterback prospect, I don’t think it would preclude the Bills from taking the player they believe to be the best prospect at the position when they’re on the board.

It’s not the best example, but Cam Newton, a player who was drafted in Carolina when both Brandon Beane and Sean McDermott were there wasn’t an ideal fit for a pro-style offense. He was not a pure passer and he never played in a pro system, but he was far and away the best prospect at the position.

So, in general I think most NFL clubs tend to focus on drafting the best player at the position, then worry about how they’ll make use of his skill set.

4 – @ChrisBrownBills

What do you think Cordy Glenn’s future is with the Bills? If they move on, does he have trade value with that contract?

Josh McCarty
@Josh_McCarty28

CB: Step one for Glenn is to get back to full health following the latest procedure on his foot. By all accounts he is doing very well in his rehabilitation and is on track to be full go for the start of the offseason conditioning program in April.

I do understand why there is speculation about Glenn being a trade option for the Bills, knowing how well Dion Dawkins performed at left tackle in Glenn’s absence.

Taking that hypothetical situation a step further, it’s obvious that Glenn’s cap figure for 2018 ($14.45M) is second only to Tyrod Taylor ($18M) on Buffalo’s roster.

But to move Glenn via trade or outright release prior to June 1st would only give Buffalo a cap savings of $4.85M with $9.6M in dead money still on their books.

If the Bills moved him after June 1st, such a move becomes more fiscally responsible.

The cap savings would be more than $11M and the dead money would be cut by two-thirds ($3.2M). However, moving a player via trade that late in the offseason is rare, but quality left tackles with a proven track record and just 28-years old are not easy to find. So even that late in the game I think he absolutely has trade value.

Just knowing how much GM Brandon Beane wants to continue to clear dead money off the Bills cap so they have more flexibility in their spending going forward, I find it hard to fathom them trying to move Cordy Glenn prior to June 1st knowing the cap implications mentioned above.

NOTE: For those wondering if you can designate a player you intend to trade as a post-June 1st designation, it doesn’t appear that you can. When you designate a player as a post-June 1st cut, the contract is immediately terminated and the team no longer holds any rights to the player.

So it would appear to be impossible to designate a traded player as a post-June 1st trade, because the team technically would not have the rights to said player, and thus no commodity to trade. The actual trade, as mentioned above, would seemingly have to take place after June 1st for the aforementioned cap savings to be realized.

 

5 – @ChrisBrownBills

If Bills lose Gaines to free agency, does corner become high draft priority?

Patrick Schrader
@Pjschrades16

CB: If you’re down a starting caliber corner and you don’t feel you have an adequate replacement on your roster, then yes it does become a priority. Knowing that Leonard Johnson is also a free agent could increase the positional need even more.

So if Gaines doesn’t return, I think positionally it becomes a priority, but I’m not ready to peg it a draft priority. Let’s see what free agency can bring the team first if necessary.


Tags: , , , , , ,
Posted in Inside the Bills