Although an overwhelming number of mock drafts have the Bills taking Oklahoma St. TE Brandon Pettigrew, draft history indicates that very few tight ends are taken in Buffalo’s first round pick range at 11.
Over the past 15 years (1994-2008) only five tight ends have been taken between picks 8 and 15 in round one. They were Kyle Brady (9th overall – 1995), Rickey Dudley (9th overall – 1996), Tony Gonzalez (13th overall – 1997), Bubba Franks (14th overall – 2000) and Jeremy Shockey (14th overall – 2002).
In that 15-year span more tight ends were taken between picks 21 and 32 (12). And that group of tight ends collectively may have offered more than the above five with names like Heath Miller, Dallas Clark, Ben Watson and Daniel Graham. And the jury is still out on Dustin Keller and Greg Olsen, who fall in that range as well.
Only two were taken in the top 7 picks over that span in Vernon Davis (#6, 2006) and Kellen Winslow (#6, 2004). One has been a disappointment, due in part to the lack of a QB while the other has been up and down due to injuries and QB issues.
All told it looks like a pretty high risk position looking at this group. So as promising as Pettigrew might be, history shows it might not be the best idea to take a TE that high, I guess unless you think he’s the Tony Gonzalez of the next generation.
Tags: NFL Draft, tight ends
Posted in Inside the Bills