Inside The Bills

Bills in top 10 in new metric strength of schedule

Posted by Chris Brown on April 18, 2016 – 9:38 am

For years strength of schedule has been calculated based on an opponent’s record the season prior. As we all know with NFL roster turnover averaging anywhere from 25-30 percent from one year to the next, it’s a foolhardy method. The number crunchers at Sharp Football Analysis have put together a more comprehensive formula. They’ve found that the Bills rank in the top 10 in strength of schedule for 2016.

Buffalo has the ninth-toughest schedule according to their calculations, which is rooted in forecasted records for a team’s opponents rather than prior-year records. Their analysis uses the betting market to help predict Strength of Schedule. Here’s a full list of their findings.

1. San Francisco 49ers
2. New York Jets
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Washington Redskins
5. Los Angeles Rams
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7. New Orleans Saints
8. Minnesota Vikings
9. Buffalo Bills
10. Houston Texans
11. Denver Broncos
12. Philadelphia Eagles
13. Cleveland Browns
14. Jacksonville Jaguars
15. Detroit Lions
16. Miami Dolphins
17. Tennessee Titans
18. Oakland Raiders
18. San Diego Chargers
20. Indianapolis Colts
21. Seattle Seahawks
22. Arizona Cardinals
23. New England Patriots
24. Chicago Bears
25. Kansas City Chiefs
26. Baltimore Ravens
27. Cincinnati Bengals
28. Green Bay Packers
29. Carolina Panthers
30. Pittsburgh Steelers
31. New York Giants
32. Dallas Cowboys

The Bills were also calculated to have one of the worst four week stretches of games in the league this season, with their first four games being the quarter of the season referenced.

Worst First Month:

1. Jets: vs CIN, @ BUF, @ KC, vs SEA
2. 49ers: vs LA, @ CAR, @ SEA, vs DAL
3. Bills: @ BAL, vs NYJ, vs ARI, @ NE
4. Broncos: vs CAR, vs IND, @ CIN, @ TB
5. Dolphins: @ SEA, @ NE, vs CLE, @ CIN

Fortunately the Bills were also determined to have one of the easiest final months of the season.

Easiest Last Month:

32. Panthers: vs SD, @ WAS, vs ATL, @ TB
31. Steelers: @ BUF, @ CIN, vs BAL, vs CLE
30. Bills: vs PIT, vs CLE, vs MIA, @ NYJ
29. Chiefs: vs OAK, vs TEN, vs DEN, @ SD
28. Cowboys: @ NYG, vs TB, vs DET, @ PHI

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