Inside The Bills

Free agent bargains approach

Posted by johnmurphyshow on March 18, 2013 – 5:00 pm

As NFL free agency moves into its’ second week, the time for finding bargains in the free agent pool has arrived. And NFL analyst and writer Bill Barnwell of says the smart teams will find good value in the next few days.

Barnwell appeared on The John Murphy Show Friday night. He’s a football analytics specialist who writes a regular column for

He told host John Murphy that there’s not much difference between the free agents signed by teams in the first wave last week, and the players still unsigned.

“The problem is, you’re talking about guys who are not only mediocrities,” he said, “but they’re guys who aren’t that much better than the guys who haven’t signed yet. An example might be Erik Walden, a guy who was bouncing around practice squads for four years, caught on with the Packers, played with them for two years—a below average starter I would say. Maybe a decent depth guy.”

“He went out and got 16-million dollars for four years, from the Indianapolis Colts. Now, is he a useful player that you might want to have on your roster? Sure. But is he better than half a dozen other guys still out there in free agency? Absolutely not. He might even be worse.”

“Those guys are eventually going to wind up signing for a million dollars for one year; two million dollars for one year, three million dollars over two years. When you have guys like that available, you just can’t spend four million dollars a year on a below-average linebacker. It just doesn’t make any sense,” he said.

The entire interview with Bill Barnwell of is available at

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Barnwell: “Nobody’s ever won a Super Bowl in March”

Posted by johnmurphyshow on March 18, 2013 – 3:33 pm

Six days into NFL free agency, and the Bills have just one signing. Linebacker Manny Lawson was signed to the roster last Wednesday.

And even though the slow pace of signings has some Bills fans concerned, an NFL analyst and writer from says there’s very little value in the players signed in the first few days of free agency.

Bill Barnwell is a football analytics specialist for He appeared on The John Murphy Show last Friday to talk about the early NFL free agent signings.

“The reality is, and this is hard to remember right now, but nobody’s ever won a Super Bowl in March,” Barnwell said. “They don’t award them in March.”

Barnwell wrote on last week that the first day of free agency is “the Dumbest Day of the NFL Year.”

The reality is, if you look at teams that spend the most in these free agency deals,” Barnwell said on the radio show, “they’re not winning teams. The Redskins were famous for it over the last decade or so, and they were crowned with the unofficial title of “offseason champs,” and they were not winning football games. The Dolphins made a big splash two years ago, and they did not do very well. And I don’t think they’re going to do very well with their big splash this year.”

Barnwell acknowledges it’s difficult for fans to sit back and watch their team move slowly through free agency, while other teams make big, splashy early moves.

“It’s tough,” he told host John Murphy. “You want to be in the news and you want to be involved. But think about last year. The Bills signed the best free agent available, and were they a significantly better team? I don’t think so.”

The entire interview with Bill Barnwell of is available at

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Posted in Inside the Bills
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