Inside The Bills

The only playoff scenarios left for Bills

Posted by Chris Brown on December 8, 2008 – 6:43 am

Shockingly the Bills at 6-7 are still alive mathematically for the postseason. First, let’s list who they cannot catch.

They can’t catch Indy even if they lose out and finish 9-7 because Indy will have a better conference record anyway in that situation (8-4) and the best Buffalo can do is (7-5).

They can’t catch Baltimore even if they lose out and finish 9-7 because of common opponents winning percentage. Under a lose out scenario for the Ravens they’d have an .800 win percentage against common opponents (Mia-W, Oak.-W, Cle.-2W, Jax-L) while Buffalo would only have a .400 win percentage (Mia-2L, Oak.-W, Cle.-L, Jax.-W).

So the Wild Card is out meaning winning the AFC East is the only other option. And there’s a ridiculous way Buffalo can still do that. 

Here is the only scenario left as to how they can make they playoffs.

If the Bills win out and finish 9-7, the Patriots lose out and finish 8-8, and the Dolphins and Jets each lose their next two games and tie against each other in Week 17 to each finish 8-7-1, Buffalo (9-7) wins the AFC East and qualifies for the postseason.

The odds are long and the way they’re playing hasn’t been encouraging either, but it’s still out there for another week.

Posted in Inside the Bills

Bills essentially have to win out

Posted by Chris Brown on November 25, 2008 – 3:13 pm

It’s likely that most Bills fans are aware of this, but wanted to lay the win-out scenario for Buffalo out for everyone.

Essentially though the Bills will have to run the table the rest of the way to guarantee themselves anything with respect to the postseason. If they can somehow pull that off, they’d be 11-5, Miami at best would be 10-6 (because of their loss to Buffalo under this scenario and not a concern in terms of Wild Card berth over Buffalo).

New England at best would be 11-5 like the Bills under this Buffalo win-out scenario (5th loss to the Bills), but Buffalo would beat the Pats out on the fourth tiebreaker (conference record – 8-4 to 7-5) by virtue of their win over the Pats in the season finale.

Unlikely I know, but a 10-6 record for Buffalo would require extraordinary help down the stretch here for the Bills to qualify for the postseason. It looks promising this season for a 10-6 team to be left out of the playoff picture as Cleveland was last season.

Posted in Inside the Bills
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