Inside The Bills

Bills in top 10 in new metric strength of schedule

Posted by Chris Brown on April 18, 2016 – 9:38 am

For years strength of schedule has been calculated based on an opponent’s record the season prior. As we all know with NFL roster turnover averaging anywhere from 25-30 percent from one year to the next, it’s a foolhardy method. The number crunchers at Sharp Football Analysis have put together a more comprehensive formula. They’ve found that the Bills rank in the top 10 in strength of schedule for 2016.

Buffalo has the ninth-toughest schedule according to their calculations, which is rooted in forecasted records for a team’s opponents rather than prior-year records. Their analysis uses the betting market to help predict Strength of Schedule. Here’s a full list of their findings.

1. San Francisco 49ers
2. New York Jets
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Washington Redskins
5. Los Angeles Rams
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7. New Orleans Saints
8. Minnesota Vikings
9. Buffalo Bills
10. Houston Texans
11. Denver Broncos
12. Philadelphia Eagles
13. Cleveland Browns
14. Jacksonville Jaguars
15. Detroit Lions
16. Miami Dolphins
17. Tennessee Titans
18. Oakland Raiders
18. San Diego Chargers
20. Indianapolis Colts
21. Seattle Seahawks
22. Arizona Cardinals
23. New England Patriots
24. Chicago Bears
25. Kansas City Chiefs
26. Baltimore Ravens
27. Cincinnati Bengals
28. Green Bay Packers
29. Carolina Panthers
30. Pittsburgh Steelers
31. New York Giants
32. Dallas Cowboys

The Bills were also calculated to have one of the worst four week stretches of games in the league this season, with their first four games being the quarter of the season referenced.

Worst First Month:

1. Jets: vs CIN, @ BUF, @ KC, vs SEA
2. 49ers: vs LA, @ CAR, @ SEA, vs DAL
3. Bills: @ BAL, vs NYJ, vs ARI, @ NE
4. Broncos: vs CAR, vs IND, @ CIN, @ TB
5. Dolphins: @ SEA, @ NE, vs CLE, @ CIN

Fortunately the Bills were also determined to have one of the easiest final months of the season.

Easiest Last Month:

32. Panthers: vs SD, @ WAS, vs ATL, @ TB
31. Steelers: @ BUF, @ CIN, vs BAL, vs CLE
30. Bills: vs PIT, vs CLE, vs MIA, @ NYJ
29. Chiefs: vs OAK, vs TEN, vs DEN, @ SD
28. Cowboys: @ NYG, vs TB, vs DET, @ PHI

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Hard slate for Bills, Browns

Posted by Chris Brown on December 8, 2010 – 11:09 am

The Bills and Browns square off on Sunday after facing the two toughest schedules in the NFL this season.

Heading into Week 14, the Browns have faced the toughest schedule in the league. Seven of the Browns 12 opponents this season are currently leading or tied for their division lead. For the Bills five of their 12 opponents this year are division leaders.

The Browns have faced seven of the 11 teams with eight wins or more in the league right now. The Bills have also faced sevenof the 11 teams in the NFL with eight wins or more thus far this season.

The winning percentage of Cleveland’s opponents, leads the NFL at .599 (85-57), while the Bills are tied for second with Detroit at .577 (82-60).

Posted in Inside the Bills

Bills 2010 strength of schedule

Posted by Chris Brown on January 6, 2010 – 1:13 pm

Here’s a look at where the Bills strength of schedule ranks in terms of opponent’s winning percentage for 2010.

Buffalo will have the 13th toughest schedule in the league tied with four other teams including division rivals Miami and New York.

Their opponents for 2010 compiled a .500 record with 128 wins and 128 losses. The Bills will face six playoffs teams counting the Jets and Patriots, so there will be a total of eight games against playoffs opponents from 2009 knowing Buffalo plays New York and New England twice.

The other playoff teams the Bills will face in 2010 are Baltimore, Cincinnati, Green Bay and Minnesota. The crazy part is Buffalo faces all of those 2009 playoff teams on the road next season. Their home division games against New England and New York are the only tough home games that appear on the schedule. So hopefully a better home field advantage can be established in 2010.

New England for the record has the fifth toughest schedule with an opponents’ winning percentage of .531.

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Posted in Inside the Bills
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